REALISED FORECASTS FOR THE YEAR 2000

These forecasts by Tina El Méouchi were edited in the monthly magazine NOUN N°27 DEC 99, and were broadcast on the telephone line 1499 in November 99, and told by Tina El Méouchi during an interview for the 8 o'clock news broadcast on FUTURE TV on December 31st, 1999.

Lebanon and the year 2000

Lebanon, as all countries of the Middle East, will be similar to an eruptive volcano which may explode any time ; ; clashes between Lebanese armed forces and sunni islamist activists led to the death of twenty-one people in North Lebanon. These are the most violent clashes since the 1975-1990 civil war. (Nouvel Observateur January 4, 2000)

At a crossroads, the country will know a better climate towards the last trimester of the year 2000.

Peace talks will be held in a destabilizing environment. IIsraeli planes struck more targets in Lebanon on Tuesday, a day after destroying three power plants. (CNN February 8, 2000) with strong hostilities Israeli jets bombed Lebanese power plants near Beirut and other locations early Friday. (CNN May 4, 2000). . Conflicts are to be expected. The pressure of a power will be felt too, through some diplomatics moves Israel ends 22-year occupation of southern Lebanon. (CNN May 24, 2000) - but also through canons and assasination attempts. Negotiations will continue, but the peace agreement is not due for this year.

Violence et mutiny will erupt against certain injustices About 10,000 people converged on the streets of Beirut on Friday in a second day of protests against the United States and the American media. (CNN February 18, 2000) - Demonstrations in Lebanon. 3000 Lebanese demonstrated Sunday in Saida, a harbor city in south Lebanon, to protest against Lionel Jospin's recent remarks, who had termed the operations of the pro-iranian chiite militia as " terrorist attacks " against Israel. (Nouvel Observateur February 28 2000).
The people will try to express itself and free itself from its conditioning. The intellectual field will develop and ideas and social contacts will profuse. New projects and new security structure will be established.

Banks and financial firms will focus their energy on obtaining means to be put at the disposal of everyone. Concretely, finances and money will be in the spotlights. Real estate will decline, but trade and transactions will be favored.

The world and the year 2000 .

More catastrophes are to be expected for the end of 99 and the beginning of 2000; The government is being mobilized following the two devastating storms. Nearly 60 departments will be declared in state of natural catastrophe. Damages worth 32,8 billions of francs for Europe and nearly 130 deceased (Nouvel Observateur December 30 1999), floods, earthquakes, a nuclear leak ; A second victim of Japan's worst-ever nuclear accident died on Thursday from radiation exposure, on the same day officials worked to strengthen public trust in the nation's nuclear power industry. (CNN April 28, 2000) - Radioactive water leaked inside Japan nuclear plant (CNN July 25, 2000), an ecological accident The wild race of cyanide in the Danube. Cyanide pollution will poison during years the "all of the food chain " of Tisza, a Danube affluent, and could represent the " biggest ecological catastrophe since Tchernobyl". (Nouvel Observateur February 15 2000) - and another, maritime; The wreck of the Erika started on the morning of December 12. During two weeks, pools of fuel which leaked out of the oil-tanker will have trifled on the atlantic coasts. (Le Monde December 29 1999) are to be feared. Some catastrophes will be natural, but will sometimes be the result of human negligence; Turquie : black tide in Istanbul Over 800 tons of oil are still at sea in Marmara. (Le Monde December 30 1999) -

More specifically:

In the Middle East, one of the Arab leaders will pass away on the eve of the IIIrd millenium,," Syrian president Hafez al-Assad, one of the historic leaders of the Arab world, died Saturday morning at the age of 69, the Syrian official television announced". (AFP Saturday June 10 2000).

In Europe, a religious leader and a queen will leave this world, and Russia will go through more wars; Ten months of clashes in Tchechnya On October 1st, 1999, the troups from Moscow entered Tchetchnya. The war of harassment goes on. The existence of negotiations remains doubtful. (Nouvel Observateur August 1st, 2000), ), in America, a new scandal will break out; US Presidential elections 2000: "both sides maybe taking legal actions..."BCC World - 11/11/00.


Paris, in fact, does not intend to participate in the Unifil forces unless Lebanon decides to send its own forces to the south, at least in parallel, which it is still hesitating to do. (Libération Saturday June 10 2000)

Beirut has finally agreed on Saturday to a patial deployment of Unifil in the zone liberated by Israel on the 24th of May. The commander of Unifil and Lebanese authorities must decide today of the schedule of total deployment. (Libération Monday July 31st).